In november 2008, the national intelligence council released a landmark study, global trends 2025. This report, called global trends 2025, is a forecast prepared by u. This presentation, set in the year 2025, paints a picture of events going south very quickly in four of the worlds largest future cities. The atlantic councils global energy forum is the goto conference on the geopolitics of the energy transformation, where energy and foreign policy leaders come together to set the energy agenda for the year and examine the longerterm geopolitical and geoeconomic implications of the changing energy system. Although the report is close to 40,000 words long, it contains a series of convenient textboxes which summarize the key predi. Sandia national laboratories is a multiprogram laboratory managed and operated by sandia corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of lockheed martin corporation, for the u. Central european journal of international and security studies, 1. Contents more change than continuity alternative futures chapter 1. National intelligence council he international systemas constructed following the second world warwill be almost unrecogniyable by 2025 owing to the rise of emerging powers, a globalizing economy, a historic transfer of relative wealth and economic power from west to. Mar 01, 2010 this important government reportfrom the united states national intelligence council, which has been producing assessments of national security issues for senior u. Nov 21, 2008 the report, global trends 2025, covers a range of strategic issues, including greatpower rivalry, demographics, climate change, terrorism, nuclear proliferation, energy and natural resources. Although global governance institutions have racked up many successes since their development after the second world war, the growing number of issues on the international agenda, and their complexity, is outpacing the ability of international organizations and national. Reform of the global energy architecture i atlantic council b etween september and december 2016, the atlantic council convened a highlevel task force to examine the state of international energy governance, and to determine if and how the prevailing institutional regime could benefit from reform. Every four years, a government think tank called the national intelligence council releases a document projecting the most relevant trends in politics, economics, and technology to discern what the world might look like 20 years from now.
Geopolitical tensions will continue to escalate over the course of the next seven years. The national intelligence council s nic 2025 global trends report deals with how key global trends might develop over the next 15 years to influence world events. The report, global trends 2025, covers a range of strategic issues, including greatpower rivalry, demographics, climate change, terrorism, nuclear proliferation, energy and natural resources. Global trends 2025 by progressive management overdrive. Instead of american hegemony, it foresees a multipolar world, with china, india. The atlantic council report provides an example of how globaltrends analysis can aid the development of comprehensive policy, and could serve as a useful model for latin american policymakers. Global trends 2025 the international system will be almost unrecognizable by 2025 owing to the rise of emerging powers, a globalizing economy, an historic transfer of relative wealth and economic power from west to east, and the growing influence of nonstate actors, says a publication of the atlantic council. It makes for sometimes grim reading in imagining a world of weak states bristling with weapons of mass destruction and unable to cope with burgeoning. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence councilled effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future.
Kosovo war in perspective international affairs oxford. It also could be the largest importer of natural resources and the biggest polluter. The national intelligence council produced this report. Search for a new normal, mathew burrows, director of the atlantic councils strategic foresight initiative and author of global trends 2030, analyzes geopolitical and technological trends to present five alternative futures based on how well global actors may respond, react, and adapt to growing uncertainty and change. Although the report is close to 40,000 words long, it contains a series of convenient textboxes which summarize the key predictions. The atlantic councils brent scowcroft center on international security will host a twoday conference launching the us national intelligence councils nic global trends 2030. Governments and institutions will be tested by considerable challenges over the next decade as the international order is restructured and global trends converge all forms of government in every region will face increasing tensions both domestic and foreign. A transformed world, was drafted by the national intelligence council to better inform u. Based on interviews with business executives, civil society leaders and experts in different fields, the project investigates the key sustainability and. Alternative worlds report and exploring its consequences for us strategy moving forward.
The national intelligence councils nic 2025 global trends report deals with how key global trends might develop over the next 15 years to influence world events. A transformed world, published in late 2008, noted that momentous change was ahead, with the gap between increasing disorder and weakening governance structures widening. If current trends persist, by 2025 china will have the worlds second largest economy and will be a leading military power. Alternative worlds,1 the transatlantic community is entering a new era in history that will pose a very different set of challenges and offer unprecedented opportunities.
The increasing influence of china is also a result of reduced engagement by the united states, which is focused on other global engagements. Although there is an element of instore customisation in certain stores, we believe by 2025 there will be a far greater level of product personalisation available instore. A transformed world is the fourth unclassified report prepared by the national intelligence council nic in recent years that takes a longterm view of the future. The atlantic council of the us and the transatlantic policy network have been partners in supporting the project. It offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next 15 years to influence world events. National intelligence council to show how key global trends might develop over the next 15 years to influence world events. It is not a good time to be along the atlantic seaboard, particularly in the.
The report is timed to be especially relevant for the. The authors note, however, that a crash program to develop reliable and clean energy would limit the need for countries to go to war over oil and similar resources, and stabilize many countries. Department of energys national nuclear security administration under contract deac0494al85000. Congress, especially the scenario in which energy scarcity becomes the major driver of global conflict in 2025. Household budgets, as well as business balance sheets. Council suggested in its landmark 2012 report, global trends 2030. Global trends 2025 the international system will be almost unrecognizable by 2025 owing to the rise of emerging powers, a globalizing economy, an historic transfer of relative wealth and economic power from west to east, and the growing influence of nonstate actors, says a publication of the atlantic council despite the recent financial volatilitywhich could end up. See all 3 formats and editions hide other formats and editions. The highlevel conference will convene more than 150 participants from the. The relative power of nonstate actors will increase. Stores will increasingly become smarter, anticipating and adapting environments to each customers needs by utilising data and ai. The report lays out the possibility of a future very different from the reality to which most of the world is accustomed. Oct 26, 2016 using the big data gained through the online trends and transactions will also be a focus point of retail design in 2025.
This important government reportfrom the united states national intelligence council, which has been producing assessments of national security issues for senior u. A transformed world pdf link makes for a freshly bracing reading. International futures ifs is a global integrated assessment model designed to help in thinking strategically and systematically about key global systems economic, demographic, education, health, environment, technology, domestic governance, infrastructure, agriculture, energy and environment housed at the frederick s. The atlantic council s brent scowcroft center on international security will host a twoday conference launching the us national intelligence council s nic global trends 2030. The atlantic council is a nonpartisan organization that promotes constructive us leadership and engagement in international affairs based on the central role of the atlantic community in meeting todays global challenges. A transformed world see attachment respond on whether or not if you agree with the relative certainties expressed in the report.
At a critical juncture inquiries regarding this report may be made to mathew burrows, counselor to the national intelligence council, on 703 4820741 and to the eu institute of security studies on 0033156891951. It offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next 15. Atlantic council of the unite states, stimson center, sri consulting business intelligence. Global trends track record the national intelligence councils global trends series has never pretended to be a modernday oracle, but it has held up better than other forecastspartly. The atlantic council of the united states and the stimson center were both important. Assessing global trends for 2025 the futurist, vol. Dec 10, 2012 the atlantic councils brent scowcroft center on international security will host a twoday conference launching the us national intelligence councils nic global trends 2030. The shift in relative wealth and economic power from west to east will continue. This article has been reproduced in a new format and may be missing content or contain. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. It contains a range of possibilities and potential discontinuities, amongst others in the form of four global scenarios and 2025 global landscape certainties and uncertainties. Nov 25, 2008 the nic report is titled global trends 2025. A world transformed and is available as a pdf document which you can download from a link at the end of the article. Global trends reports, australian office of net assessments, and other institutions.
If it is to survive, the nato alliance must navigate this crucial period by. The talk portends that current and accelerating trends in business and society in iotiiot, automation and autonomy, especially in critical infrastructure systems, are setting up u. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and. The regional policy and power capabilities of jordan as a small state. For an updated overview of the strategic environment see. Geopolitics, international relations, and the future of. Jun 14, 2015 global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence council led effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. Global issue article 1 article 1 global trends 2025 a. Brands like adidas and nike do a great job of giving the consumer control of their own product designs, especially online. Both the product and the process used to produce it benefited from lessons learned in previous iterations.
Geopolitics, international relations, and the future of the. The atlantic council s global energy forum is the goto conference on the geopolitics of the energy transformation, where energy and foreign policy leaders come together to set the energy agenda for the year and examine the longerterm geopolitical and geoeconomic implications of the changing energy system. Today, he fears what is coming next and many of his. A pdf from a knowledgable author projecting global trends out to 2035. Global governancethe collective management of common problems at the international levelis at a critical juncture. Atlantic council shaping the global future together. Relative certainties a global multipolar system is emerging. The global warming price tag in four impact areas, 2025 through 2100 will be hit especially hard, but no one will be exempt. The globalizing economy back to the future growing middle class state. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence council led effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. Every four years since 1997, the national intelligence council has published an unclassified strategic assessment of how key trends and uncertainties might shape the world over the next 20 years to help senior us leaders think and plan for the longer term.
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